Archive for August 29th, 2011

Who Can Help Me With The Math?

Monday, August 29th, 2011

Cobleskill, NY yesterday

The cost of our wars in the last 10-years is estimated at $3.7 TRILLION DOLLARS and rising faster than Hurricane Irene’s floods.  The estimated, “shocking” costs of cleaning up and repairing the devastation is $7 BILLION DOLLARS.

I know it takes 1000 Billion to make a Trillion – so we’ve spent $3-Thousand Seven Hundred Billion on a decade of wars.  If we divide that by ten (years), the average yearly cost would be $3 Hundred Billion (rounding down), right? $300,000,000,000 divided by 365 days is $821,917,808 per day – for war.  So $7-Billion of Irene cleanup costs could be paid for in about 10-days of war costs.  Is this right?

Chances of Winning: Zero

Monday, August 29th, 2011

The chance of winning the Grand Prize on this ticket is roughly equivalent to walking around your backyard with a bushel basket waiting for a plane to drop $1-million into it. But even THOSE chances – zillions to one – are better than if you have NO CHANCE of winning.

What’s that?

Yeh, sorry. Sometimes there’s NO chance of winning the Grand Prize. Why?

Because someone may have ALREADY won it. WHAT!?  Well, how do you think they create a game?

The NYS Lottery Commission runs the numbers through computers to make sure the odds are so stupidly high, even Paris Hilton could see there’s little chance of  her ticket actually winning. And then they set the run of the new game (say a year) and print the estimated required number of tickets to distribute to retail vendors and start the massive ad campaigns.

BUT THEN some nitwit actually HITS the Grand Prize in the first month of a yearlong campaign! (It’s happened any number of times.) Uh-oh. There’s only one Grand Prize and eleven months to go. Now what?

“Well New York pulls the game or announces there is no more Grand Prize to win, right?”

Sure, kid. And the cow really jumped over the moon.